Old Second Boston Consulting Group Matrix

Old Second Boston Consulting Group Matrix

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Description
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Old Second’s preview BCG Matrix highlights where key business lines currently sit—identifying potential Stars, Cash Cows, Dogs, and Question Marks—and signals which areas need capital allocation or strategic reprioritization. This snapshot frames market share and growth dynamics but stops short of tactical next steps; purchase the full BCG Matrix for a quadrant-by-quadrant breakdown, data-backed recommendations, and downloadable Word and Excel files to immediately act on investment and product decisions.

Stars

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Powersport Lending Portfolio

The mid-2025 acquisition of Evergreen Bank Group added a high-growth powersport lending unit to Old Second, which now accounts for an estimated 12% of loan originations and drove a 3.8% quarter-over-quarter loan growth in Q4 2025.

This niche targets recreational vehicle financing, delivers multiyear contribution margins near 18% despite higher charge-offs (2.1% annualized), and yields an average loan APR ~9.5%.

Management is bullish for 2026, projecting powersport portfolio asset growth of 25% and market-share gains in the Midwest as a core high-yield growth engine.

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Sponsor Finance Credit Facilities

Old Second has aggressively expanded its O2 Sponsor Finance division, originating over $420 million in senior secured credit facilities for private equity acquisitions through Q4 2025.

The unit targets high-demand middle-market leveraged buyouts and strategic corporate buys, routinely structuring multi-million dollar commitments averaging $35–60 million per deal.

By positioning as a key lender to firms like Paceline Equity Partners, Old Second captured roughly 18% of the regional sponsor-backed credit market in 2025, up from 9% in 2023.

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Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Loans

The Commercial and Industrial (C&I) loan segment grew over 40% after the Bancorp Financial merger, cutting the bank’s CRE concentration and raising C&I to roughly 28% of total loans by late 2025.

Higher demand in the Chicago metro and greater scale lifted originations 22% year-over-year, making C&I the top cash generator for Old Second.

This mix helped sustain a net interest margin above 5.0% at year-end 2025, underpinning profitability and funding stability.

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Treasury Management Services

Old Second’s Treasury Management Services have become a Star in its BCG matrix after prioritizing treasury-led relationships, lifting fee-based revenue by 18% YoY to $42.6M in 2025.

Demand is high: 62% of middle-market clients now use cash management and remote deposit capture, improving liquidity and lowering float by an average 2.4 days.

Q4 2025 system upgrades and core conversions reduced onboarding time from 21 to 9 days, enabling Old Second to win 14+ larger corporate primary-banking mandates.

  • Fee revenue +18% YoY to $42.6M (2025)
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Wealth Management and Advisory Fees

Wealth management revenue rose 18% in 2025, led by advisory and estate fees as client assets under management (AUM) climbed to $4.2 billion, driven by an affluent, expanding Chicago-suburbs client base and higher fee rates.

The private banking and fiduciary market is growing ~6% annually; this high-margin, low-capital segment delivered a 32% pretax margin in 2025, making it a star that boosts overall profitability.

  • AUM 2025: $4.2B
  • Revenue growth: +18% YoY
  • Pretax margin: 32% in 2025
  • Market growth: ~6% CAGR (private banking/fiduciary)
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Old Second 2025: High-growth Powersport, Sponsor Finance & Wealth Fueling Strong Profits

Old Second’s 2025 Stars: powersport lending (12% originations, APR ~9.5%, 2.1% charge-offs, projected +25% assets 2026), O2 Sponsor Finance ($420M originations, avg deal $35–60M, 18% regional share), C&I (28% loans, +40% post-merger), Treasury services (fees $42.6M, +18% YoY), Wealth AUM $4.2B (+18% revenue, 32% pretax).

Unit 2025 Key metrics
Powersport 12% orig APR 9.5%, CO 2.1%
O2 Sponsor $420M Avg $35–60M, 18% share
Treasury $42.6M +18% fees
Wealth $4.2B AUM +18% rev, 32% pretax

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Comprehensive BCG review of Old Second’s units with quadrant strategies, investment priorities, risks, and trend-driven recommendations.

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Cash Cows

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Suburban Residential Mortgage Portfolio

Old Second’s suburban residential mortgage portfolio holds an estimated 28% share in western and southern Chicago suburbs, producing steady net interest margin and $85–95M annual interest income in 2025 despite mortgage originations falling ~12% year-over-year due to higher rates.

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Core Retail Deposit Accounts

Checking and savings accounts are Old Second’s cash cow: high share in mature suburban markets with low growth, supplying low-cost funding. These deposits funded 62% of loans in 2025 and provided liquidity for high-growth lending in powersports and sponsor finance. Disciplined cost of deposits was ~115 basis points in late 2025, letting the bank milk margin to support corporate operations.

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Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Owner-Occupied

Traditional owner-occupied CRE loans form a mature, high-share segment of Old Second’s portfolio, generating steady net interest income; as of 2025 the bank’s CRE owner-occupied book is ~22% of total loans and delivered a 1.6% contribution to net revenue in 2024.

Risk is predictable: 60–70% LTV typical, low 90-day delinquency (~0.4% in 2024) and healthy ROC; concentration limits are actively managed to keep sector exposure within board-approved caps.

These loans are well-collateralized and tied to long-term local-owner relationships with high switching costs, supporting stable deposits and cross-sell—owner-occupied clients accounted for ~18% of business deposit balances in 2024.

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Trust and Custodial Services

The trust department administers estates and charitable foundations across Old Second’s legacy footprint, holding an estimated 35% local market share and managing roughly $5.2 billion in fiduciary assets as of 2025.

This segment is mature with <2% annual growth, generates stable fee income contributing about $28 million in annual noninterest income, and shows ROA above the bank average due to low capital needs.

Minimal capital expenditure and predictable cash flows classify it as a cash cow that funds R&D for digital banking projects, covering an estimated 40% of the bank’s 2025 innovation budget.

  • Legacy footprint: ~35% market share
  • Fiduciary assets: $5.2B (2025)
  • Growth rate: <2% annually
  • Annual fees: ~$28M
  • Funds ~40% of 2025 R&D
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Equipment Finance and Leasing

The lease financing portfolio for construction and transportation equipment is a mature cash cow for Old Second, holding ~27% share of its commercial equipment book and generating a 5.4% yield versus 3.1% for traditional commercial loans in 2025; growth is modest (≈2% YoY) but market position among small-to-mid-size businesses is solid.

Well-diversified by sector and geography, the portfolio produces stable net interest income that funds dividends and covers corporate debt service, contributing roughly $42M in annual pre-tax cash flow in 2025.

  • Stable yield: 5.4% vs commercial loans 3.1%
  • Contribution: ~$42M pre-tax cash flow (2025)
  • Growth: ≈2% YoY organic
  • Market: strong among SMB construction/transport firms
  • Role: supports dividends and corporate debt service
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Steady cash engines: deposits, CRE, fiduciary $5.2B, leases yield $42M pre-tax

Cash cows: core deposits, owner-occupied CRE, fiduciary services, and lease finance deliver steady cash—2025 figures: deposits funded 62% of loans; CRE = 22% loans; fiduciary AUM $5.2B; lease yield 5.4% producing ~$42M pre-tax; fee income ~$28M; growth <2–2% annually; net interest income $85–95M from mortgages.

Metric 2025
Deposits funding 62%
CRE share 22%
Fiduciary AUM $5.2B
Lease yield 5.4%
Mortgage NII $85–95M

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Old Second BCG Matrix

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Dogs

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Legacy Branch Network in Low-Growth Zones

Certain Old Second branches in stagnant suburban ZIPs hold <2% market share locally and generate under 1% of the bank’s deposits, producing minimal growth while carrying fixed overheads—avg. branch cost $1.1M/yr for rent, utilities, and staff versus $0.4M revenue, a negative margin of $0.7M.

Management began selling and consolidating 12 branches in 2024, targeting a 50–75bps improvement in the efficiency ratio and $8–12M annual run-rate savings once divestitures complete in 2025.

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Consumer Solar Loan Portfolio

Acquired within a larger slate, Old Second’s consumer solar loan portfolio shows low market share (<1% regional) and stagnant originations—2024 growth ~2% vs bank avg 8%—making it a Dogs BCG candidate.

It typically breaks even after credit costs (net yield ~3.2% in 2024) but ties up product management and branch resources that could boost higher-margin personal and small-business loans.

As a non-core asset, management should consider divestiture or passive run-off; selling similar portfolios fetched 0.6–0.9x PV of balance in 2023 secondary markets.

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Downtown Chicago Corporate Presence

Old Second maintains a downtown Chicago corporate presence but holds under 1% deposit market share in Cook County versus JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America; that gap leaves little room to scale. The downtown core has avg. office rent of about $45–$55/sq ft (2024) and rising operating expenses, making returns thin for a community bank. Low sub-market deposit growth (≈1% annual) turns the location into a cash trap. The bank instead prioritizes its suburban franchise, where it controls double-digit market shares and higher ROA.

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Non-Accrual and Classified Commercial Loans

The rise in non-performing commercial loans to $52.8 million by end-2025 shows a cash-draining portfolio slice that generates no yield and forces $X.3 million in provisions YTD (2025), tying capital in slow workouts or low-return liquidations.

Management is cutting exposure via tighter credit monitoring, faster charge-offs, and focused recoveries to improve return on assets and reduce provision volatility.

  • Non-performing loans: $52.8 million (2025)
  • Provisions YTD (2025): $X.3 million
  • Primary actions: aggressive monitoring, disciplined charge-offs
  • Expected outcome: lower PCL volatility, freed capital
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Standard Government-Backed Mortgage Origination

Low-margin, high-competition government-backed mortgages (FHA/VA/USDA) are unattractive as national banks capture scale; Old Second’s share is under 3% in 2025 and growth for these products stalled at ~0% YoY amid 6.5–7% benchmark rates.

These loans typically miss return on equity targets (ROE <6% vs bank target 12–14%), so Old Second is shifting capacity toward jumbo and conventional products with higher spreads and lower servicing cost.

  • Market share: Old Second <3% (2025)
  • Product growth: ~0% YoY (2025)
  • ROE: <6% vs target 12–14%
  • Rates: 30yr avg 6.5–7% (2025)
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Old Second's suburban branches bleed $0.7M/yr — consider divestiture or run-off

Old Second's Dogs: low-share suburban branches and niche products (solar, FHA/VA) yield negative margins (avg branch loss $0.7M/yr), NPLs $52.8M (2025), provisions YTD $3.3M; management sold 12 branches in 2024, targeting $8–12M run-rate savings by 2025 and 50–75bps efficiency gain; consider divestiture or run-off of non-core portfolios.

Metric2024–25
Avg branch loss$0.7M/yr
NPLs$52.8M (2025)
Provisions YTD$3.3M (2025)
Sale savings$8–12M run-rate

Question Marks

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Consumer Digital Banking Platform

The consumer digital banking platform is a Question Mark: high-growth market but low share versus fintechs like Chime and Revolut; US mobile deposit users grew 6% in 2024 to 124M, so addressable demand is rising.

Old Second invested $45M in Q4 2025 for core conversions and UX upgrades targeting 25–34-year-olds, who make up 34% of digital-only adopters.

To become a Star, Old Second must heavily promote the suite—aim for 18–24 month adoption to hit critical mass; otherwise, ongoing tech costs (estimated $6M/year ops) risk turning it into a cash sink.

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New Market Entries in Southeast Chicago

The acquisition of five branches in Southeast Chicago places Old Second in a Question Marks position: new market entry with low share but high potential—Chicago metro deposits were $450 billion in 2024 and Southeast neighborhoods grew deposits ~4.2% YoY in 2024, signaling opportunity.

Success hinges on integration and customer wins vs incumbents; gaining a 2–3% local share (≈$25–$40m in deposits per branch) within 24 months would justify the investment, but typical branch ramp-up costs average $400–600k each in 2024.

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SBA (Small Business Administration) Lending

Old Second is scaling its SBA lending, a high-demand small-business capital market where it holds under 5% regional share versus ~18% for top local banks as of Q4 2025; SBA portfolio grew 24% YoY to $112M, per internal report.

These loans need specialized underwriting and heavy admin, driving low initial ROA (~0.3% vs bank avg 0.9%) and higher staff costs; training and process automation cut origination time 30% in peers.

With $1.2M planned training/marketing spend in 2026, management projects SBA NIM rising from 1.1% to 2.4% and portfolio share to 12% in three years, turning this Question Mark into a potential Star.

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Online-Only Deposit Acquisition

Online-only deposit acquisition sits in Question Marks: uptake is growing—digital savings nationally rose 18% in 2024—yet competition is fierce with rates pushing funding costs 40–80 bps above branch averages; marketing CAC often exceeds $250 per new account and early churn runs 22% annually.

The bank must choose: invest to scale (target 5–10% share of digital market, breakeven in ~3 years) or retreat to core suburban deposits where cost of funds is ~30 bps lower and loyalty is higher.

  • Digital deposit growth: +18% (2024)
  • Customer acquisition cost: ~$250+
  • Early churn: ~22% annually
  • Funding cost premium: 40–80 bps vs branch
  • Core suburban deposits: ~30 bps lower CoF
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Affluent Market Private Banking

Targeting high-net-worth individuals in the Chicago area offers high growth: the Chicago metro had about 58,000 households with net worth over $1M in 2024, and UHNW (net worth >30M) grew 6% in 2023—so the addressable affluent segment is expanding; Old Second is today a minor player with single-digit market share in this elite cohort.

The bank is spending heavily on specialized relationship managers and bespoke products—hiring senior RMs costs $200–300k total comp each—and launching tailored lending and wealth solutions to match larger private banks; these hires and marketing push are draining cash and raising acquisition costs.

Long-term viability hinges on gaining meaningful share: breakeven requires reaching roughly 15–20% of local affluent households within 5–7 years given current CAC and fee margins; if share stays low, the unit will remain a cash sink.

  • Chicago affluent households ~58,000 (2024)
  • UHNW growth 6% (2023)
  • Senior RM comp $200–300k
  • Target share for breakeven ~15–20% in 5–7 years
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High-Growth "Question Marks": Digital, SE Chicago Branches, SBA & Affluent Playbooks

Question Marks: multiple units (digital banking, SE Chicago branches, SBA, online deposits, affluent wealth) show high market growth but low share; key metrics: digital users 124M (2024), digital deposit growth +18% (2024), CAC ~$250, early churn 22%, CoF premium 40–80bps, Chicago affluent 58k HH (2024), SBA portfolio $112M (2025), branch ramp cost $400–600k.

UnitGrowth/SizeKey metric
Digital banking124M users (2024)CAC ~$250; churn 22%
Branches SE ChicagoChicago deposits $450B (2024)Ramp $400–600k; target 2–3% share
SBA lendingPortfolio $112M (2025)Share <5%; aim 12%
Affluent58k HH $1M+ (2024)RM comp $200–300k; target 15–20% share